ECONOMIC OUTLOOK OF TURKEY
TURKEY - UK
What were the outcomes?

Thanks to the economic program, year 2006 became one of the most successful years for Turkish economy since;

• The economic growth in 2007 was 4.5% and the cumulative economic growth was realised as 40% in period 2002-2007.

• Turkey has faced a single digit inflation rate since 2004, and a CPI inflation of 7.7% was attained in 2005 and 9.7% in 2006 and 8.4% in 2007. After a period of three decades with high (double, even triple digit) inflation rates, this success was stunning.

• Public sector’s outstanding debts were decreased by more than 40 percentage points in debt-to-GNP ratio terms significantly, and the quality of the debt stock steadily improved within the last five years. High public sector primary surplus policy brought down the colossal public net debt standing at 91% of GNP in 2001 to 29,18% of GDP at the end of 2007.

• Public sector was very keen on fiscal discipline and realised a primary surplus (IMF definition) 3.5% of GDP in 2007.

• Annual exports and foreign trade volume (in goods) hit all-times record of about 21% of GDP and 55% of GDP, respectively. Similarly, tourism revenues which went almost USD 19 billion and net real estate purchases of nonresidents in Turkey recorded an inflow of USD 3.0 billion with a 1 per cent rise over 2006.

• Foreign direct investment in Turkey increased from USD 10,031 million in 2005 to a record level of USD 20.0 billion in 2006 and USD 22.0 billion in 2007.

• In 2007, net real estate purchases of nonresidents in Turkey recorded an inflow of USD 3.0 billion.

• The current account balance in 2007 which was -5.8% of GDP and that was mainly due to a fuelled trade balance (in goods) of USD -46.7 billion.

• Gross fixed investments amounted to USD 66.9 billion and hit a record of 17.4% of GDP.

• As of end-2007, the CBRT’s International reserves (including gold) reached a substantial level exceeding USD 76.4 billion, which is more than 11.6% of GDP.

• An intense long-term privatisation strategy was launched and privatisation revenue of USD 8.09 billion and USD 4.2 billion was received in 2006 and 2007 respectively.

• Financial markets performed well. Having had significantly increased capital adequacy ratios and profits, the Banking sector fully recovered itself after the devastating year-2001-crisis. Mergers and acquisitions in 2007 suggests that the banking sector is the most attractive industry for international investors. The Istanbul Stock Exchange (IMKB) became one of best-performing markets among those of the 25 emerging-market countries.

• The negative impact of soaring world oil and commodity prices on Turkish economy, which is a net importer of oil, gas and some commodities, was very limited and almost all macro-economic targets were attained in 2007. Hence Turkey proved once more that its economy is strong enough against such external shocks.

• Turkey started EU membership negotiations as of October 3, 2005 and screening process in all 35 chapters has been completed succesfully in 2006.

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